2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and choose

The 2012 Euro Cup is down to the ultimate four teams, then when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they shall be playing to manage the winner of the Spain vs. Portugal game that can place later today.
Recent history between both of these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't love days gone by, they may be dedicated to the action at hand.
The German squad haven't beaten Italy inside a competitive match.
"We can't reverse time, forget about about this, days gone by doesn't play a role within our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is that Germany never won against Italy in the major tournament, but so what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's the perfect time for Germany get more info to win as they're the favored at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will be a tough, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong way on this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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